Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Novorizontino vs Avai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:15 WAT, Thursday 30 April: Novorizontino v Avai in the , played at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Current form
Novorizontino, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sport Recife, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Avai, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ponte Preta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Avai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.7 xG, Avai 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 56%, draw 25%, Avai 19%.
Lower-risk option: Novorizontino or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 2–0 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novorizontino56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Avai19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
2.44Expected goals
1.68Novorizontino xG
0.77Avai xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.7 – 0.8 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.65
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Avai +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Recent results
Novorizontino – last 6
LWDWDW
26 Apr
@ Sport Recife
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Juventude
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Juventude
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
LWLDWL
19 Apr
vs Ponte Preta
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs Caxias
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Operario-PR
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ CRB
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Tombense
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Avai.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Avai?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avai 19%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Avai?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 2–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Avai?
Novorizontino vs Avai () kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tombense2
São Bernardo2