Cuiaba vs Porto Vitória: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Porto Vitória travel to face Cuiaba on Thursday 16 April in the , with Arena Pantanal the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Cuiaba, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Porto Vitória, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Anápolis, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 1.0 xG, Porto Vitória 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 26%, draw 28%, Porto Vitória 46%.
Lower-risk option: Porto Vitória or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Porto Vitória or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 0–1 Porto Vitória. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cuiaba26%fair 3.80 · @3.80
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.10
Porto Vitória46%fair 2.20 · @1.91
2.17Expected goals
0.97Cuiaba xG
1.20Porto Vitória xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.0 – 1.2 Porto Vitória expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porto Vitória to win✓
46%
2.20
1.91
Double chance
Porto Vitória or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Porto Vitória (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Cuiaba +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Porto Vitória to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Porto Vitória / FT Porto Vitória✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.57
–
Recent results
Cuiaba – last 5
LDLDD
8 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Fortaleza EC
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Gama
0–1
L
26 Mar
vs Tocantinópolis
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Sport Recife
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Porto Vitória – last 4
LWLL
8 Apr
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Atletico Goianiense
3–2
W
25 Mar
vs Gama
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Avai
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cuiaba and Porto Vitória.
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Porto Vitória?
Our pick is Porto Vitória or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cuiaba vs Porto Vitória?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Porto Vitória 46%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Porto Vitória?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Porto Vitória?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 0–1 Porto Vitória, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs Porto Vitória?
Cuiaba vs Porto Vitória () kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.