Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Apollon Limassol v AEK Larnaca in the 1. Division, played at Alphamega Stadium. In the table, Apollon Limassol are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; AEK Larnaca are 1st (leading the league) with 20.
Current form
Apollon Limassol, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pafos, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
AEK Larnaca, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Crystal Palace, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Apollon Limassol 1.4 xG, AEK Larnaca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Apollon Limassol 41%, draw 26%, AEK Larnaca 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apollon Limassol 1–1 AEK Larnaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Apollon Limassol41%fair 2.41 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
AEK Larnaca32%fair 3.11 · @2.90
2.58Expected goals
1.44Apollon Limassol xG
1.14AEK Larnaca xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Apollon Limassol 1.4 – 1.1 AEK Larnaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Apollon Limassol to win✗
41%
2.41
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Apollon Limassol (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
AEK Larnaca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Apollon Limassol to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Apollon Limassol / FT Apollon Limassol✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Apollon Limassol – last 5
DDWDW
22 Mar
@ Pafos
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Anorthosis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs AEL
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ethnikos Achna
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
AEK Larnaca – last 6
DWDWDL
19 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Ethnikos Achna
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs Akritas
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Olympiakos
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apollon Limassol and AEK Larnaca.
What is the prediction for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
On our numbers Apollon Limassol have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AEK Larnaca 32%.
How many goals will there be in Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
Our predicted score is Apollon Limassol 1–1 AEK Larnaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethnikos Achna1