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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Apoel Nicosia v Aris: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Cyprus · GSP Stadium
2–1
FT

Aris

LWDD
Apoel Nicosia 46%Draw 23%Aris 30% Expected goals 1.75 – 1.30
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultApoel Nicosia to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.61

Apoel Nicosia vs Aris: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 April the 1. Division brings Apoel Nicosia against Aris at GSP Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Apoel Nicosia are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 9 matches; Aris are 7th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Apoel Nicosia, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aris, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Aris, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Apoel Nicosia, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Aris 1–2 Apoel Nicosia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Apoel Nicosia 1.7 xG, Aris 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Apoel Nicosia 46%, draw 23%, Aris 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Aris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Apoel Nicosia46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.35
Aris30%fair 3.30 · @3.00
3.04Expected goals
1.75Apoel Nicosia xG
1.30Aris xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Apoel Nicosia 1.7 – 1.3 Aris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultApoel Nicosia to win ✓46%2.162.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.67
Draw no betApoel Nicosia (draw no bet) ✓60%1.65–
Asian handicapAris +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreApoel Nicosia to score first ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Apoel Nicosia / FT Apoel Nicosia ✓29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.61–

Recent results

Apoel Nicosia – last 4

WLWL
15 Mar@ Aris2–1W
8 Marvs Anorthosis0–2L
22 Febvs Omonia Nicosia1–0W
15 Feb@ Ethnikos Achna2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aris – last 4

LWDD
15 Marvs Apoel Nicosia1–2L
8 Mar@ Enosis4–0W
1 Marvs Pafos2–2D
20 Feb@ Krasava Ypsonas1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Aris v Apoel Nicosia1–2
Apoel Nicosia vs Aris head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9621+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9531+1118
3AEL9603018
4Apoel Nicosia9522+1017
5Apollon Limassol9441+1016
6Pafos9441+616
7Aris9432015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9324-211
9Olympiakos9162-19
10Nea Salamis9225-48
11Anorthosis9207-106
12Karmiotissa9135-146
13Omonia Aradippou9135-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9126-115

More 1. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

On our numbers Apoel Nicosia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aris 30%.

How many goals will there be in Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

Our predicted score is Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Aris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Apoel Nicosia vs Aris?

Apoel Nicosia vs Aris (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.