AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: AEK Larnaca v Omonia Nicosia in the 1. Division, played at AEK Arena. In the table, AEK Larnaca are 1st, leading the league, on 20 points after 9 matches; Omonia Nicosia are 2nd (among the top four) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AEK Larnaca, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Apollon Limassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Omonia Nicosia, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Olympiakos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AEK Larnaca, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Omonia Nicosia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 1.3 xG, Omonia Nicosia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 36%, draw 29%, Omonia Nicosia 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 1–1 Omonia Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Larnaca36%fair 2.78 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.80
Omonia Nicosia35%fair 2.85 · @2.75
2.57Expected goals
1.31AEK Larnaca xG
1.26Omonia Nicosia xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.3 – 1.3 Omonia Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✗
36%
2.78
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
AEK Larnaca (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Omonia Nicosia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
AEK Larnaca to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Recent results
AEK Larnaca – last 6
DDWDWD
5 Apr
@ Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Ethnikos Achna
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs Akritas
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Olympiakos
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Omonia Nicosia – last 5
WDLLL
15 Mar
vs Olympiakos
5–0
W
2 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ HNK Rijeka
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Nicosia.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Omonia Nicosia 35%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 1–1 Omonia Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia?
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
