On Tuesday 14 April the 1. Division brings Aris against Pafos at Alphamega Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Aris are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Pafos are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aris, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Apoel Nicosia, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Pafos, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AEL, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pafos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Aris.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Aris 2–2 Pafos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aris 1.3 xG, Pafos 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aris 33%, draw 25%, Pafos 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris 1–1 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aris33%fair 3.01 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Pafos42%fair 2.41 · @2.15
2.77Expected goals
1.34Aris xG
1.43Pafos xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Aris 1.3 – 1.4 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aris vs Pafos?
On our numbers Aris have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pafos 42%.
How many goals will there be in Aris vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aris vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Aris vs Pafos?
Aris vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
