Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultItaly to win ✗54% · @1.52
Double chanceItaly or draw ✓79% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 31 March the World Cup Qualification Europe brings Bosnia & Herzegovina against Italy at Bilino Polje. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.1 xG, Italy 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bosnia & Herzegovina 21%, draw 25%, Italy 54%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Italy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bosnia & Herzegovina21%fair 4.86 · @6.75
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.80
Italy54%fair 1.85 · @1.52
2.77Expected goals
1.13Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
1.64Italy xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.1 – 1.6 Italy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy to win✗
54%
1.85
1.52
Double chance
Italy or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Italy (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Italy to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy / FT Italy✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Bosnia & Herzegovina
No recent results on record.
Italy – last 1
W
26 Mar
vs Northern Ireland
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Italy.
What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Italy 54%.
How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
Our predicted score is Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Italy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy (World Cup Qualification Europe) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bilino Polje.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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