Value bet: Middelfart to win @ 4.20 – our chance 32% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAalborg to win ✓46% · @1.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Middelfart vs Aalborg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Middelfart welcome Aalborg to Middelfart Stadium for a 1. Division fixture on Saturday 4 April (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Aalborg, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aarhus Fremad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Middelfart 1.5 xG, Aalborg 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Middelfart 32%, draw 23%, Aalborg 46%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Middelfart to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middelfart 1–1 Aalborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Middelfart32%fair 3.15 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.55
Aalborg46%fair 2.19 · @1.76
3.09Expected goals
1.54Middelfart xG
1.56Aalborg xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Middelfart 1.5 – 1.6 Aalborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalborg to win✓
46%
2.19
1.76
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Draw no bet
Aalborg (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Middelfart +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Aalborg to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalborg / FT Aalborg✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Middelfart – last 2
LW
13 Mar
@ Lyngby
1–4
L
13 Feb
vs Vysočina Jihlava
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Aalborg – last 3
LDL
6 Mar
vs Aarhus Fremad
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Hillerød
3–3
D
20 Feb
@ Sandefjord
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middelfart and Aalborg.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Middelfart vs Aalborg?
On our numbers Middelfart have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aalborg 46%.
How many goals will there be in Middelfart vs Aalborg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middelfart vs Aalborg?
Our predicted score is Middelfart 1–1 Aalborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Middelfart vs Aalborg?
Middelfart vs Aalborg (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Middelfart Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AC Horsens1
Lyngby0