Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultHB Koge to win ✓51% · @1.71
Double chanceHB Koge or draw ✓76% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
HB Koge vs Middelfart: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Middelfart travel to face HB Koge on Friday 10 April in the 1. Division, with Capelli Sport Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.
Current form
HB Koge, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aarhus Fremad, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Middelfart, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Aalborg, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HB Koge 1.8 xG, Middelfart 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HB Koge 51%, draw 25%, Middelfart 24%.
Lower-risk option: HB Koge or draw (76%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: HB Koge 1–1 Middelfart. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HB Koge51%fair 1.96 · @1.71
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.65
Middelfart24%fair 4.09 · @4.33
3.12Expected goals
1.79HB Koge xG
1.34Middelfart xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: HB Koge 1.8 – 1.3 Middelfart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HB Koge to win✓
51%
1.96
1.71
Double chance
HB Koge or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
HB Koge (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Middelfart +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
HB Koge to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HB Koge / FT HB Koge✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
HB Koge – last 6
WLLDWD
6 Apr
vs Aarhus Fremad
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ B 93
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Esbjerg
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Hobro
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–0
W
14 Feb
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Middelfart – last 3
LLW
4 Apr
vs Aalborg
2–5
L
13 Mar
@ Lyngby
1–4
L
13 Feb
vs Vysočina Jihlava
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HB Koge and Middelfart.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HB Koge vs Middelfart?
On our numbers HB Koge have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Middelfart 24%.
How many goals will there be in HB Koge vs Middelfart?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HB Koge vs Middelfart?
Our predicted score is HB Koge 1–1 Middelfart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is HB Koge vs Middelfart?
HB Koge vs Middelfart (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Capelli Sport Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
