Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Curaçao v Aruba: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Stadion Ergilio Hato

Curaçao

LLL
4–0
FT

Aruba

WW
Curaçao 67%Draw 17%Aruba 16% Expected goals 2.51 – 1.57
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 58% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCuraçao to win ✓67% · @1.09
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Curaçao vs Aruba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aruba travel to face Curaçao on Sunday 7 June in the Friendlies, with Stadion Ergilio Hato the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Curaçao, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Scotland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Curaçao 2.5 xG, Aruba 1.6 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Curaçao 67%, draw 17%, Aruba 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.40.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curaçao 2–1 Aruba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Curaçao67%fair 1.50 · @1.09
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @8.00
Aruba16%fair 6.33 · @21.00
4.08Expected goals
2.51Curaçao xG
1.57Aruba xG
58%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–25%
2–05%

From our goals model: Curaçao 2.5 – 1.6 Aruba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CuraçaoAruba
Attack vs Friendlies average+11%-7%
Goals conceded vs average+4%+13%
Our expected goals here2.001.79

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuraçao to win ✓67%1.501.09
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓84%1.19–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.712.40 ▲
Draw no betCuraçao (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapAruba +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.881.93
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.521.33
First team to scoreCuraçao to score first ✓60%1.65–
Half-time resultCuraçao ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Curaçao / FT Curaçao ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Curaçao – last 3

LLL
30 May@ Scotland1–4L
31 Mar@ Australia1–5L
27 Mar@ China0–2L
0.7Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aruba – last 2

WW
29 Marvs Liechtenstein4–1W
26 Marvs Mação4–1W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Aruba.

Curaçao vs Aruba head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
FT Argentina2 Honduras0 178%1.11X14%7.7527%25.00 2.8–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✗
FT Afghanistan0 Pakistan2 139%2.38X23%3.00238%2.85 0.8–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓
FT Liechtenstein0 Cyprus2 117%10.00X22%4.60260%1.28 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Kenya4 Lesotho0 165%1.70X22%3.20214%5.10 1.6–0.5xG 1Kenya to win 65%@1.70 ✓
– Oman Mozambique 126%2.35X53%3.00220%2.95 1.3–1.2xG 1XOman or draw 80%@1.30
FT Maldives1 Bangladesh U231 129%2.10X51%3.25220%3.00 0.9–0.8xG 1XMaldives or draw 80%@1.30 ✓
– Denmark2 Ukraine1 158%1.65X24%3.70218%5.10 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30
FT Kosovo3 Andorra0 167%1.18X22%5.25211%17.00 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Curaçao vs Aruba?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Curaçao vs Aruba?

On our numbers Curaçao have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Aruba 16%.

How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Aruba?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Aruba?

Our predicted score is Curaçao 2–1 Aruba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Curaçao vs Aruba?

Curaçao vs Aruba (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ergilio Hato.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.