Wednesday 11 November 2026 9 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Independência v Galvez: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Independência

WWLLL
3–1
FT

Galvez

WLLWW
Independência 50%Draw 22%Galvez 28% Expected goals 2.01 – 1.35
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependência to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Independência vs Galvez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independência welcome Galvez for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 24 May (22:00 WAT).

Current form

Independência, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Araguaína, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Galvez, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Humaitá, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Galvez 2–1 Independência. The last 2 head-to-heads: Independência 0 wins, Galvez 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independência 2.0 xG, Galvez 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independência 50%, draw 22%, Galvez 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independência 2–1 Galvez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independência50%fair 2.02 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
Galvez28%fair 3.51 · @2.90
3.35Expected goals
2.01Independência xG
1.35Galvez xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–26%
1–26%

From our goals model: Independência 2.0 – 1.3 Galvez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependência to win ✓50%2.022.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.55
Draw no betIndependência (draw no bet) ✓63%1.57–
Asian handicapGalvez +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreIndependência to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultIndependência ahead at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independência / FT Independência ✗33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Independência – last 6

WWLLLD
17 Mayvs Araguaína1–0W
29 Aprvs GAS3–2W
19 Apr@ Galvez1–2L
15 Apr@ Paysandu1–2L
8 Apr@ Trem0–4L
26 Marvs Guaporé0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Galvez – last 6

WLLWWL
17 Mayvs Humaitá4–2W
10 May@ Guaporé0–1L
29 Apr@ Remo1–2L
19 Aprvs Independência2–1W
16 Aprvs Monte Roraima6–3W
7 Apr@ Águia de Marabá2–3L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Galvez v Independência2–1
6 Mar 2026Independência v Galvez1–2
Independência vs Galvez head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Guarany de Bagé0 Cascavel4 129%3.20X30%2.50241%2.38 0.9–1.1xG X2Cascavel or draw 71%@1.30 ✓
FT Azuriz2 Blumenau4 131%2.80X25%2.75244%2.50 0.8–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✗
FT Oratório3 Tuna Luso3 132%3.20X22%3.25246%1.95 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✓
FT ABC1 America-RN1 140%2.40X29%2.62231%3.00 1.3–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.15 ✓
FT Araguaína1 Porto Velho1 144%2.30X27%2.90229%2.80 1.6–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.85 ✓
FT Brasiliense1 Inhumas0 168%1.40X21%3.70211%7.50 1.7–0.5xG 1Brasiliense to win 68%@1.40 ✓
FT CRAC0 Uberlandia0 132%2.45X30%2.70238%2.80 0.8–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.73 ✓
FT Decisão0 Serra Branca1 125%4.00X27%3.25248%1.75 1.1–1.4xG X2Serra Branca or draw 75%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independência vs Galvez?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Independência vs Galvez?

On our numbers Independência have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galvez 28%.

How many goals will there be in Independência vs Galvez?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independência vs Galvez?

Our predicted score is Independência 2–1 Galvez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Independência vs Galvez?

Independência vs Galvez (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.