Luverdense vs Aparecidense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the Serie D brings Luverdense against Aparecidense at Passo das Emas. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.
Current form
Luverdense, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Primavera MG, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luverdense 1.4 xG, Aparecidense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luverdense 42%, draw 29%, Aparecidense 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luverdense 1–1 Aparecidense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luverdense42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.70
Aparecidense29%fair 3.41 · @3.40
2.40Expected goals
1.35Luverdense xG
1.04Aparecidense xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Luverdense 1.4 – 1.0 Aparecidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luverdense to win✓
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Luverdense (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Aparecidense +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Luverdense to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luverdense / FT Luverdense✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Luverdense – last 3
LLW
17 May
@ Primavera MG
0–1
L
2 May
@ Gama
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Sinop
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aparecidense – last 2
DW
17 May
@ Inhumas
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Centro Oeste
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luverdense and Aparecidense.
What is the prediction for Luverdense vs Aparecidense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Luverdense vs Aparecidense?
On our numbers Luverdense have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Aparecidense 29%.
How many goals will there be in Luverdense vs Aparecidense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luverdense vs Aparecidense?
Our predicted score is Luverdense 1–1 Aparecidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Luverdense vs Aparecidense?
Luverdense vs Aparecidense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Passo das Emas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Passo das Emas
Guarany de Bagé0
Cascavel4
Azuriz2
Blumenau4
Oratório3
Tuna Luso3
ABC1
America-RN1
Araguaína1
Porto Velho1
Brasiliense1
Inhumas0
CRAC0
Uberlandia0
Decisão0
Serra Branca1