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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sampaio Correa v Moto Club: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Moto Club

Sampaio Correa 58%Draw 22%Moto Club 20% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.50

58%

Betarazi pick

Sampaio Correa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating

1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultSampaio Correa to win ✓58% · @1.75

Double chanceSampaio Correa or draw ✓80% · @1.15

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.59

Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Sampaio Correa v Moto Club in the Serie D.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Moto Club 1–0 Sampaio Correa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sampaio Correa 1.2 xG, Moto Club 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sampaio Correa 58%, draw 22%, Moto Club 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sampaio Correa or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sampaio Correa to win (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampaio Correa 1–0 Moto Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sampaio Correa58%fair 1.72 · @1.75

Draw22%fair 4.54 · @2.90

Moto Club20%fair 5.01 · @4.75

1.71Expected goals

1.21Sampaio Correa xG

0.50Moto Club xG

47%Both score

25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%

0–018%

2–013%

1–111%

0–19%

2–17%

From our goals model: Sampaio Correa 1.2 – 0.5 Moto Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sampaio Correa to win ✓	58%	1.72	1.75
Double chance	Sampaio Correa or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.15
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.88	1.55
Draw no bet	Sampaio Correa (draw no bet) ✓	74%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Moto Club +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Sampaio Correa to score first ✓	58%	1.73	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	53%	1.89	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sampaio Correa / FT Sampaio Correa ✓	31%	3.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	22%	4.59	–

Recent results

Sampaio Correa – last 2

17 May	vs Parnahyba	4–1	W
6 May	@ Moto Club	0–1	L

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Moto Club – last 1

6 May

vs Sampaio Correa

1–0

1.0Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026

Moto Club v Sampaio Correa

1–0

Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Guarany de Bagé0

Cascavel4 129%3.20X30%2.50241%2.38 0.9–1.1xG X2Cascavel or draw 71%@1.30 ✓

Azuriz2

Blumenau4 131%2.80X25%2.75244%2.50 0.8–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✗

Oratório3

Tuna Luso3 132%3.20X22%3.25246%1.95 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✓

ABC1

America-RN1 140%2.40X29%2.62231%3.00 1.3–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.15 ✓

Araguaína1

Porto Velho1 144%2.30X27%2.90229%2.80 1.6–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.85 ✓

Brasiliense1

Inhumas0 168%1.40X21%3.70211%7.50 1.7–0.5xG 1Brasiliense to win 68%@1.40 ✓

CRAC0

Uberlandia0 132%2.45X30%2.70238%2.80 0.8–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.73 ✓

Decisão0

Serra Branca1 125%4.00X27%3.25248%1.75 1.1–1.4xG X2Serra Branca or draw 75%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club?

Our pick is Sampaio Correa to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club?

On our numbers Sampaio Correa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moto Club 20%.

How many goals will there be in Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club?

Our predicted score is Sampaio Correa 1–0 Moto Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club?

Sampaio Correa vs Moto Club (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.