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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Decisão v Sergipe: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos

Decisão

LLD
3–2
FT

Sergipe

DWD
Decisão 24%Draw 29%Sergipe 47% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.51
76%
Betarazi pick

Sergipe or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 56% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSergipe to win ✗47% · @1.95
Double chanceSergipe or draw ✗76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Decisão vs Sergipe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sergipe travel to face Decisão on Sunday 31 May in the Serie D, with Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Decisão, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Serra Branca, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sergipe, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lagarto, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sergipe, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Decisão.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Decisão 1.2 xG, Sergipe 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Decisão 24%, draw 29%, Sergipe 47%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sergipe or draw (76%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sergipe or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Decisão 1–1 Sergipe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Decisão24%fair 4.10 · @3.90
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @2.75
Sergipe47%fair 2.14 · @1.95
2.72Expected goals
1.22Decisão xG
1.51Sergipe xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Decisão 1.2 – 1.5 Sergipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSergipe to win ✗47%2.141.95
Double chanceSergipe or draw ✗76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.792.25 ▲
Draw no betSergipe (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapDecisão +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreSergipe to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sergipe / FT Sergipe ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Decisão – last 3

LLD
24 Mayvs Serra Branca0–1L
17 May@ Retrô1–2L
5 Aprvs Lagarto1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sergipe – last 3

DWD
17 May@ Lagarto1–1D
4 May@ Retrô3–1W
27 Feb@ América SE1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Decisão and Sergipe.

Decisão vs Sergipe head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Galvez2 Porto Velho6 115%9.00X20%5.50265%1.22 1.2–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Sao Raimundo4 GAS0 161%1.53X22%3.40217%5.50 1.8–1.0xG 1Sao Raimundo to win 61%@1.53 ✓
FT IAPE1 Sampaio Correa3 114%6.00X20%3.30266%1.53 0.6–1.7xG 2Sampaio Correa to win 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Juazeirense0 Atlético Alagoinhas0 158%1.60X25%3.10217%5.50 1.6–0.9xG 1Juazeirense to win 58%@1.60 ✗
FT Oratório0 Imperatriz1 136%2.80X26%2.90238%2.30 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.83 ✗
FT Brasil DE Pelotas1 Blumenau2 148%1.91X30%2.62222%4.40 1.3–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.50 ✓
FT Brasiliense1 Luverdense1 143%2.05X29%2.75228%3.60 1.2–0.9xG 1XBrasiliense or draw 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Cianorte1 Santa Catarina3 148%2.05X27%2.75226%3.50 1.5–1.0xG 1XCianorte or draw 74%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Decisão vs Sergipe?

Our pick is Sergipe or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Decisão vs Sergipe?

On our numbers Decisão have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sergipe 47%.

How many goals will there be in Decisão vs Sergipe?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Decisão vs Sergipe?

Our predicted score is Decisão 1–1 Sergipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Decisão vs Sergipe?

Decisão vs Sergipe (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.