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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sao Jose v Independiente FSJ: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto

Sao Jose

DDLL
1–0
FT

Independiente FSJ

DLD
Sao Jose 41%Draw 32%Independiente FSJ 27% Expected goals 0.79 – 0.61
73%
Betarazi pick

Sao Jose or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSao Jose to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceSao Jose or draw ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.11

Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente FSJ travel to face Sao Jose on Sunday 31 May in the Serie D, with Francisco Novelletto Neto the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.

Current form

Sao Jose, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Marcílio Dias, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Independiente FSJ, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Brasil DE Pelotas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sao Jose 0.8 xG, Independiente FSJ 0.6 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 83% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Jose 41%, draw 32%, Independiente FSJ 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sao Jose or draw (73%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sao Jose or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Jose 0–0 Independiente FSJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sao Jose41%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.70
Independiente FSJ27%fair 3.64 · @3.80
1.40Expected goals
0.79Sao Jose xG
0.61Independiente FSJ xG
43%Both score
17%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–025%
1–020%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%

From our goals model: Sao Jose 0.8 – 0.6 Independiente FSJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSao Jose to win ✓41%2.472.05
Double chanceSao Jose or draw ✓73%1.381.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.751.50
Draw no betSao Jose (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapIndependiente FSJ +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
First team to scoreSao Jose to score first ✓43%2.34–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓59%1.69–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗31%3.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20%5.11–

Recent results

Sao Jose – last 4

DDLL
24 Mayvs Marcílio Dias1–1D
17 May@ Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
23 Febvs Novo Hamburgo1–2L
15 Feb@ Novo Hamburgo2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Independiente FSJ – last 3

DLD
24 Mayvs Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
19 Mayvs Azuriz0–1L
5 Apr@ Marcílio Dias0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Independiente FSJ.

Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Galvez2 Porto Velho6 115%9.00X20%5.50265%1.22 1.2–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Sao Raimundo4 GAS0 161%1.53X22%3.40217%5.50 1.8–1.0xG 1Sao Raimundo to win 61%@1.53 ✓
FT IAPE1 Sampaio Correa3 114%6.00X20%3.30266%1.53 0.6–1.7xG 2Sampaio Correa to win 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Juazeirense0 Atlético Alagoinhas0 158%1.60X25%3.10217%5.50 1.6–0.9xG 1Juazeirense to win 58%@1.60 ✗
FT Oratório0 Imperatriz1 136%2.80X26%2.90238%2.30 1.6–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.83 ✗
FT Brasil DE Pelotas1 Blumenau2 148%1.91X30%2.62222%4.40 1.3–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.50 ✓
FT Brasiliense1 Luverdense1 143%2.05X29%2.75228%3.60 1.2–0.9xG 1XBrasiliense or draw 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Cianorte1 Santa Catarina3 148%2.05X27%2.75226%3.50 1.5–1.0xG 1XCianorte or draw 74%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

Our pick is Sao Jose or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

On our numbers Sao Jose have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Independiente FSJ 27%.

How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 17% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

Our predicted score is Sao Jose 0–0 Independiente FSJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.