Serra Branca v Retrô Prediction & Expected Goals (31 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSerra Branca to win ✗44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Serra Branca vs Retrô: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Serra Branca welcome Retrô for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 31 May (20:30 WAT).

Current form

Serra Branca, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Decisão, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Retrô, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lagarto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Serra Branca 1.4 xG, Retrô 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Serra Branca 44%, draw 28%, Retrô 28%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Serra Branca 1–1 Retrô. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Serra Branca44%fair 2.26 · @2.05

Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.90

Retrô28%fair 3.56 · @3.30

2.52Expected goals

1.44Serra Branca xG

1.09Retrô xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

2–19%

0–19%

2–08%

0–08%

From our goals model: Serra Branca 1.4 – 1.1 Retrô expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Serra Branca to win ✗	44%	2.26	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.38	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.80	1.85
Draw no bet	Serra Branca (draw no bet)	61%	1.63	–
Asian handicap	Retrô +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
First team to score	Serra Branca to score first ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Serra Branca / FT Serra Branca ✗	27%	3.77	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.12	–

Serra Branca – last 3

WDL

24 May	@ Decisão	1–0	W
22 Feb	@ Botafogo PB	1–1	D
18 Feb	@ Porto BA	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Retrô – last 6

DWLWDL

24 May	vs Lagarto	1–1	D
17 May	vs Decisão	2–1	W
4 May	vs Sergipe	1–3	L
30 Apr	vs America-RN	2–1	W
15 Apr	@ Ferroviario	1–1	D
9 Apr	@ Sport Recife	0–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Serra Branca vs Retrô?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Serra Branca vs Retrô?

On our numbers Serra Branca have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Retrô 28%.

How many goals will there be in Serra Branca vs Retrô?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Serra Branca vs Retrô?

Our predicted score is Serra Branca 1–1 Retrô, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Serra Branca vs Retrô?

Serra Branca vs Retrô (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Serra Branca v Retrô: numbers & prediction

Serra Branca

Retrô

Both teams to score