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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lagarto v Decisão: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Lagarto

WDDDL
1–0
FT

Decisão

DWLLD
Lagarto 56%Draw 25%Decisão 19% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.05
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultLagarto to win ✓56% · @1.44
Double chanceLagarto or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Lagarto vs Decisão: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Decisão travel to face Lagarto on Sunday 14 June in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Lagarto, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Treze, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Decisão, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Treze, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Decisão 1–1 Lagarto.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lagarto 1.7 xG, Decisão 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lagarto 56%, draw 25%, Decisão 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lagarto 1–1 Decisão. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lagarto56%fair 1.79 · @1.44
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.70
Decisão19%fair 5.14 · @5.80
2.72Expected goals
1.67Lagarto xG
1.05Decisão xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Lagarto 1.7 – 1.0 Decisão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLagarto to win ✓56%1.791.44
Double chanceLagarto or draw ✓81%1.241.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.95 ▲
Draw no betLagarto (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapDecisão +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreLagarto to score first ✓57%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lagarto / FT Lagarto ✓32%3.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Lagarto – last 5

WDDDL
30 May@ Treze2–1W
24 May@ Retrô1–1D
17 Mayvs Sergipe1–1D
5 Apr@ Decisão1–1D
22 Febvs América SE0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Decisão – last 5

DWLLD
6 Junvs Treze1–1D
31 Mayvs Sergipe3–2W
24 Mayvs Serra Branca0–1L
17 May@ Retrô1–2L
5 Aprvs Lagarto1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Decisão v Lagarto1–1
Lagarto vs Decisão head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT ABC1 Maguary PE0 159%1.65X24%3.30217%4.75 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Central SC2 Laguna1 167%1.20X21%4.80212%15.00 1.7–0.6xG 1Central SC to win 67%@1.20 ✓
FT Sousa0 America-RN2 127%3.25X29%2.50244%2.30 1.0–1.3xG X2America-RN or draw 73%@1.29 ✓
FT Atlético Alagoinhas1 CSA7 113%19.00X21%4.40266%1.22 0.8–1.8xG 2CSA to win 66%@1.22 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Operario Ferroviario1 147%1.67X25%3.10228%4.80 1.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.15 ✓
FT CRAC1 Ivinhema1 150%1.75X27%2.90222%4.50 1.3–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.57 ✗
FT CSE0 Juazeirense1 136%2.90X25%2.80239%2.30 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.00 ✗
FT GAS3 Manaus FC1 122%7.50X23%4.00255%1.35 1.2–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lagarto vs Decisão?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Lagarto vs Decisão?

On our numbers Lagarto have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Decisão 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lagarto vs Decisão?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lagarto vs Decisão?

Our predicted score is Lagarto 1–1 Decisão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Lagarto vs Decisão?

Lagarto vs Decisão (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.