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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Noroeste v Democrata GV: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Real Noroeste

DLW
0–0
FT

Democrata GV

WWWWL
Real Noroeste 15%Draw 23%Democrata GV 62% Expected goals 0.60 – 1.57
85%
Betarazi pick

Democrata GV or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Democrata GV to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDemocrata GV to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceDemocrata GV or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Noroeste welcome Democrata GV for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 14 June (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Real Noroeste, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vitória ES, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Democrata GV, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rio Branco ES, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Democrata GV, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.3 for Real Noroeste.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Democrata GV 1–0 Real Noroeste.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Noroeste 0.6 xG, Democrata GV 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Noroeste 15%, draw 23%, Democrata GV 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Democrata GV or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Democrata GV to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Democrata GV or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Noroeste 0–1 Democrata GV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Noroeste15%fair 6.64 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @2.88
Democrata GV62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
2.17Expected goals
0.60Real Noroeste xG
1.57Democrata GV xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%

From our goals model: Real Noroeste 0.6 – 1.6 Democrata GV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDemocrata GV to win ✗62%1.621.95 ▲
Double chanceDemocrata GV or draw ✓85%1.181.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.05
Draw no betDemocrata GV (draw no bet)80%1.24–
Asian handicapDemocrata GV -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreDemocrata GV to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Democrata GV / FT Democrata GV ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Real Noroeste – last 3

DLW
30 May@ Vitória ES1–1D
7 Apr@ Democrata GV0–1L
20 Febvs Serra Talhada2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Democrata GV – last 5

WWWWL
31 Mayvs Rio Branco ES3–1W
26 Mayvs Porto BA3–1W
5 Mayvs Vitória ES2–0W
7 Aprvs Real Noroeste1–0W
14 Febvs Betim0–1L
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Apr 2026Democrata GV v Real Noroeste1–0
Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT ABC1 Maguary PE0 159%1.65X24%3.30217%4.75 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Central SC2 Laguna1 167%1.20X21%4.80212%15.00 1.7–0.6xG 1Central SC to win 67%@1.20 ✓
FT Sousa0 America-RN2 127%3.25X29%2.50244%2.30 1.0–1.3xG X2America-RN or draw 73%@1.29 ✓
FT Atlético Alagoinhas1 CSA7 113%19.00X21%4.40266%1.22 0.8–1.8xG 2CSA to win 66%@1.22 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Operario Ferroviario1 147%1.67X25%3.10228%4.80 1.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.15 ✓
FT CRAC1 Ivinhema1 150%1.75X27%2.90222%4.50 1.3–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.57 ✗
FT CSE0 Juazeirense1 136%2.90X25%2.80239%2.30 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.00 ✗
FT GAS3 Manaus FC1 122%7.50X23%4.00255%1.35 1.2–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?

Our pick is Democrata GV or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?

On our numbers Real Noroeste have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Democrata GV 62%.

How many goals will there be in Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?

Our predicted score is Real Noroeste 0–1 Democrata GV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?

Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.