Rio Branco ES 63%Draw 22%Porto BA 15%Expected goals 2.05 – 0.97
63%
Betarazi pick
Rio Branco ES to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 56% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRio Branco ES to win ✓63% · @1.36
Double chanceRio Branco ES or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rio Branco ES welcome Porto BA for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 14 June (21:00 WAT).
Current form
Rio Branco ES, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Democrata GV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Porto BA, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tombense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rio Branco ES 2.1 xG, Porto BA 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Branco ES 63%, draw 22%, Porto BA 15%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rio Branco ES to win (63%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Branco ES 2–0 Porto BA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rio Branco ES63%fair 1.59 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.90
Porto BA15%fair 6.87 · @7.00
3.03Expected goals
2.05Rio Branco ES xG
0.97Porto BA xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rio Branco ES 2.1 – 1.0 Porto BA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rio Branco ES to win✓
63%
1.59
1.36
Double chance
Rio Branco ES or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Rio Branco ES (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Rio Branco ES -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Rio Branco ES to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Rio Branco ES ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rio Branco ES / FT Rio Branco ES✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Rio Branco ES – last 6
LDWLLD
31 May
@ Democrata GV
1–3
L
28 May
vs Vilavelhense
1–1
D
28 May
vs Anápolis
2–1
W
24 May
vs Vitória ES
0–2
L
22 May
@ Anápolis
0–3
L
13 May
vs Vitória ES
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Porto BA – last 6
LLLLWD
30 May
vs Tombense
1–3
L
26 May
@ Democrata GV
1–3
L
4 Mar
@ CRB
0–6
L
22 Feb
vs Juazeirense
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Serra Branca
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Branco ES and Porto BA.
What is the prediction for Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA?
Our pick is Rio Branco ES to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA?
On our numbers Rio Branco ES have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Porto BA 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA?
Our predicted score is Rio Branco ES 2–0 Porto BA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA?
Rio Branco ES vs Porto BA (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
ABC1
Maguary PE0
Central SC2
Laguna1
Sousa0
America-RN2
Atlético Alagoinhas1
CSA7
Ipatinga2
Operario Ferroviario1
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1