Sergipe vs Serra Branca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Serra Branca travel to face Sergipe on Sunday 14 June in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Sergipe, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Decisão, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Serra Branca, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Retrô, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sergipe 1.3 xG, Serra Branca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sergipe 42%, draw 29%, Serra Branca 29%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sergipe 1–1 Serra Branca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sergipe42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.70
Serra Branca29%fair 3.39 · @3.70
2.46Expected goals
1.33Sergipe xG
1.13Serra Branca xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sergipe 1.3 – 1.1 Serra Branca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sergipe to win✗
42%
2.40
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Sergipe (draw no bet)
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Serra Branca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Sergipe to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sergipe / FT Sergipe✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
Sergipe – last 4
LDWD
31 May
@ Decisão
2–3
L
17 May
@ Lagarto
1–1
D
4 May
@ Retrô
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ América SE
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Serra Branca – last 4
DWDL
31 May
vs Retrô
0–0
D
24 May
@ Decisão
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Botafogo PB
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Porto BA
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sergipe and Serra Branca.
What is the prediction for Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
On our numbers Sergipe have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Serra Branca 29%.
How many goals will there be in Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
Our predicted score is Sergipe 1–1 Serra Branca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
Sergipe vs Serra Branca (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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