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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tombense v Vitória ES: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida

Tombense

WLDLD
0–0
FT

Vitória ES

LLDWW
Tombense 50%Draw 26%Vitória ES 24% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.03
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultTombense to win ✗50% · @1.73
Double chanceTombense or draw ✓76% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Tombense vs Vitória ES: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Tombense v Vitória ES in the Serie D, played at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.

Current form

Tombense, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Porto BA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Vitória ES, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rio Branco-VN, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tombense 1.3 xG, Vitória ES 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tombense 50%, draw 26%, Vitória ES 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tombense or draw (76%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tombense 1–1 Vitória ES. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tombense50%fair 2.00 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.00
Vitória ES24%fair 4.21 · @4.60
2.37Expected goals
1.34Tombense xG
1.03Vitória ES xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Tombense 1.3 – 1.0 Vitória ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTombense to win ✗50%2.001.73
Double chanceTombense or draw ✓76%1.311.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.95
Draw no betTombense (draw no bet)68%1.48–
Asian handicapVitória ES +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreTombense to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tombense / FT Tombense ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

Tombense – last 6

WLDLDW
30 May@ Porto BA3–1W
7 May@ Juventude1–2L
30 Aprvs São Bernardo2–2D
16 Apr@ Volta Redonda2–3L
9 Aprvs America Mineiro3–3D
26 Marvs Avai3–2W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Vitória ES – last 6

LLDWWW
6 Junvs Rio Branco-VN0–1L
3 Jun@ Vilavelhense0–1L
30 Mayvs Real Noroeste1–1D
27 Mayvs Sport Brasil ES5–0W
24 May@ Rio Branco ES2–0W
20 Mayvs Serra Talhada3–2W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tombense and Vitória ES.

Tombense vs Vitória ES head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT ABC1 Maguary PE0 159%1.65X24%3.30217%4.75 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Central SC2 Laguna1 167%1.20X21%4.80212%15.00 1.7–0.6xG 1Central SC to win 67%@1.20 ✓
FT Sousa0 America-RN2 127%3.25X29%2.50244%2.30 1.0–1.3xG X2America-RN or draw 73%@1.29 ✓
FT Atlético Alagoinhas1 CSA7 113%19.00X21%4.40266%1.22 0.8–1.8xG 2CSA to win 66%@1.22 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Operario Ferroviario1 147%1.67X25%3.10228%4.80 1.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.15 ✓
FT CRAC1 Ivinhema1 150%1.75X27%2.90222%4.50 1.3–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.57 ✗
FT CSE0 Juazeirense1 136%2.90X25%2.80239%2.30 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.00 ✗
FT GAS3 Manaus FC1 122%7.50X23%4.00255%1.35 1.2–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tombense vs Vitória ES?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Tombense vs Vitória ES?

On our numbers Tombense have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vitória ES 24%.

How many goals will there be in Tombense vs Vitória ES?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tombense vs Vitória ES?

Our predicted score is Tombense 1–1 Vitória ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Tombense vs Vitória ES?

Tombense vs Vitória ES (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.