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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AC Horsens v Esbjerg: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Denmark · Nordstern Arena Horsens
4–1
FT

Esbjerg

DWDDW
AC Horsens 46%Draw 25%Esbjerg 29% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.09
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAC Horsens to win ✓46% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84

AC Horsens vs Esbjerg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AC Horsens welcome Esbjerg to Nordstern Arena Horsens for a 1. Division fixture on Tuesday 21 April (17:00 WAT).

Current form

AC Horsens, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kolding IF, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Esbjerg, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hillerød, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Esbjerg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for AC Horsens.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Esbjerg 2–1 AC Horsens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AC Horsens 1.5 xG, Esbjerg 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AC Horsens 46%, draw 25%, Esbjerg 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Horsens 1–1 Esbjerg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AC Horsens46%fair 2.19 · @2.16
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Esbjerg29%fair 3.43 · @3.15
2.60Expected goals
1.51AC Horsens xG
1.09Esbjerg xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: AC Horsens 1.5 – 1.1 Esbjerg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAC Horsens to win ✓46%2.192.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.83 ▲
Draw no betAC Horsens (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapEsbjerg +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreAC Horsens to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT AC Horsens / FT AC Horsens ✓28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

AC Horsens – last 5

WDLLL
17 Apr@ Kolding IF1–0W
11 Apr@ Hillerød0–0D
9 Marvs Lyngby1–3L
28 Feb@ Esbjerg1–2L
19 Feb@ Zbrojovka Brno1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Esbjerg – last 6

DWDDWW
17 Aprvs Hillerød0–0D
10 Aprvs Hvidovre1–0W
3 Apr@ Kolding IF1–1D
15 Marvs Hillerød2–2D
6 Mar@ HB Koge1–0W
28 Febvs AC Horsens2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Esbjerg v AC Horsens2–1
AC Horsens vs Esbjerg head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hvidovre14950+1432
2Vejle14761+1027
3FC Fredericia14653+1123
4AB Copenhagen14635+621
5Aarhus Fremad14464-218
6Aalborg14374-216
7Hobro14446-816
8Hillerød14437-315
9Kolding IF14365-315
10Esbjerg14356-714
11HB Koge14266-612
12Vendsyssel FF14266-1012

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?

On our numbers AC Horsens have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Esbjerg 29%.

How many goals will there be in AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?

Our predicted score is AC Horsens 1–1 Esbjerg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?

AC Horsens vs Esbjerg (1. Division) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nordstern Arena Horsens.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.