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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aalborg v Hobro: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Denmark · Aalborg Portland Park

Aalborg

WWWLD
1–1
FT

Hobro

WLLWL
Aalborg 42%Draw 25%Hobro 33% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.22
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAalborg to win ✗42% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Aalborg vs Hobro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aalborg welcome Hobro to Aalborg Portland Park for a 1. Division fixture on Friday 1 May (18:00 WAT). In the table, Aalborg are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Hobro are 7th (lower half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Aalborg, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over B 93, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Hobro, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aarhus Fremad, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aalborg, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Hobro.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Hobro 0–1 Aalborg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aalborg 1.5 xG, Hobro 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aalborg 42%, draw 25%, Hobro 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalborg 1–1 Hobro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aalborg42%fair 2.38 · @2.44
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Hobro33%fair 2.99 · @2.60
2.76Expected goals
1.54Aalborg xG
1.22Hobro xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Aalborg 1.5 – 1.2 Hobro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAalborg to win ✗42%2.382.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.62
Draw no betAalborg (draw no bet)56%1.80–
Asian handicapHobro +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreAalborg to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aalborg / FT Aalborg ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Aalborg – last 6

WWWLDL
23 Aprvs B 933–2W
10 Apr@ Hobro1–0W
4 Apr@ Middelfart5–2W
6 Marvs Aarhus Fremad0–1L
27 Febvs Hillerød3–3D
20 Feb@ Sandefjord0–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hobro – last 6

WLLWLD
26 Apr@ Aarhus Fremad1–0W
22 Aprvs HB Koge1–2L
10 Aprvs Aalborg0–1L
3 Apr@ B 932–0W
6 Mar@ Kolding IF1–2L
27 Febvs HB Koge1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Hobro v Aalborg0–1
Aalborg vs Hobro head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hvidovre14950+1432
2Vejle14761+1027
3FC Fredericia14653+1123
4AB Copenhagen14635+621
5Aarhus Fremad14464-218
6Aalborg14374-216
7Hobro14446-816
8Hillerød14437-315
9Kolding IF14365-315
10Esbjerg14356-714
11HB Koge14266-612
12Vendsyssel FF14266-1012

More 1. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aalborg vs Hobro?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aalborg vs Hobro?

On our numbers Aalborg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hobro 33%.

How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Hobro?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs Hobro?

Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–1 Hobro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Aalborg vs Hobro?

Aalborg vs Hobro (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.