Value bet: HB Koge to win @ 2.66 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHB Koge to win ✗42% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
HB Koge vs Hobro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the 1. Division brings HB Koge against Hobro at Capelli Sport Stadion. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, HB Koge are 11th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Hobro are 7th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
HB Koge, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aarhus Fremad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hobro, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Aarhus Fremad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HB Koge, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Hobro.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Hobro 1–2 HB Koge. The last 2 head-to-heads: HB Koge 1 win, Hobro 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HB Koge 1.5 xG, Hobro 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HB Koge 42%, draw 25%, Hobro 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: HB Koge to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: HB Koge 1–1 Hobro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HB Koge42%fair 2.40 · @2.66
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.35
Hobro33%fair 2.99 · @2.40
2.75Expected goals
1.54HB Koge xG
1.21Hobro xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: HB Koge 1.5 – 1.2 Hobro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HB Koge vs Hobro?
On our numbers HB Koge have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hobro 33%.
How many goals will there be in HB Koge vs Hobro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HB Koge vs Hobro?
Our predicted score is HB Koge 1–1 Hobro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is HB Koge vs Hobro?
HB Koge vs Hobro (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Capelli Sport Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
