Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗52% · @1.91
Double chanceAl Minaa Basra or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naft Maysan travel to face Al Minaa Basra on Sunday 5 April in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Naft Maysan are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Karkh, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Naft Maysan, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Newroz, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 1.5 xG, Naft Maysan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 52%, draw 27%, Naft Maysan 20%.
Lower-risk option: Al Minaa Basra or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Minaa Basra or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Naft Maysan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Minaa Basra52%fair 1.91 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Naft Maysan20%fair 4.89 · @3.75
2.31Expected goals
1.48Al Minaa Basra xG
0.83Naft Maysan xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.5 – 0.8 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
52%
1.91
1.91
Double chance
Al Minaa Basra or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Al Minaa Basra (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Naft Maysan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Al Minaa Basra to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.79
–
Recent results
Al Minaa Basra – last 6
LDDWWL
30 Mar
@ Al Karkh
0–1
L
25 Mar
vs Duhok
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Diyala
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Al Najaf
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Naft Maysan – last 6
LDDDWW
31 Mar
@ Newroz
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Erbil
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Al Karkh
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Naft Maysan.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
Our pick is Al Minaa Basra or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Naft Maysan 20%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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