Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%Draw 28%Naft 22%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.90
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗50% · @1.53
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓78% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Naft in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Naft are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Al Shorta, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Naft, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Talaba, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Quwa Al Jawiya, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Naft.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.2 xG, Naft 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%, draw 28%, Naft 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Naft. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya50%fair 2.01 · @1.53
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.50
Naft22%fair 4.46 · @5.75
2.07Expected goals
1.17Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.90Naft xG
41%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.2 – 0.9 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✗
50%
2.01
1.53
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Al Quwa Al Jawiya (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Naft +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Recent results
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
DWWWWW
31 Mar
@ Al Shorta
3–3
D
26 Mar
vs Al Karkh
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Baghdad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Diyala
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Gharraf
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Al Talaba
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naft – last 6
DWWDLW
30 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Karkh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Naft.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Naft 22%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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