Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCA Bizertin to win ✗56% · @1.40
Double chanceCA Bizertin or draw ✓80% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
CA Bizertin vs M'saken: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Cup brings CA Bizertin against M'saken at Stade 15 Octobre. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
CA Bizertin, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AS Soliman, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
M'saken, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bouselem, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CA Bizertin, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for M'saken.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CA Bizertin 1.8 xG, M'saken 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CA Bizertin 56%, draw 24%, M'saken 20%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CA Bizertin to win (56%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA Bizertin 2–1 M'saken. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CA Bizertin56%fair 1.79 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.70
M'saken20%fair 5.12 · @7.50
3.14Expected goals
1.83CA Bizertin xG
1.31M'saken xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: CA Bizertin 1.8 – 1.3 M'saken expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA Bizertin to win✗
56%
1.79
1.40
Double chance
CA Bizertin or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
CA Bizertin (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
M'saken +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
CA Bizertin to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA Bizertin / FT CA Bizertin✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
CA Bizertin – last 4
WWDD
3 Apr
vs AS Soliman
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ JS Kairouanaise
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs US Monastirienne
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ AS Gabes
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
M'saken – last 6
LDWWLL
13 Apr
@ Bouselem
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs US Ben Guerdane
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs EM Mahdia
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
16 Feb
vs Kerkennah
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA Bizertin and M'saken.
What is the prediction for CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
Our pick is CA Bizertin to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
On our numbers CA Bizertin have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and M'saken 20%.
How many goals will there be in CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
Our predicted score is CA Bizertin 2–1 M'saken, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is CA Bizertin vs M'saken?
CA Bizertin vs M'saken (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade 15 Octobre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Tunisia · Stade 15 Octobre
CS Sfaxien2
Jendouba Sport1
US Monastirienne0
ES Zarzis0
Stade Gabesien4
ES Sahel3