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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stade Gabesien v ES Sahel: numbers & prediction

Cup · Tunisia

Stade Gabesien

WWWLL
4–3
FT

ES Sahel

DWW
Stade Gabesien 38%Draw 27%ES Sahel 36% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.30
53%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.57Odds
1

Value bet: Stade Gabesien to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultStade Gabesien to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Cup brings Stade Gabesien against ES Sahel. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Stade Gabesien, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over EGS Gafsa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

ES Sahel, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stade Tunisien, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stade Gabesien 1.5 xG, ES Sahel 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Gabesien 38%, draw 27%, ES Sahel 36%.
  • Price worth noting: Stade Gabesien to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Gabesien 1–1 ES Sahel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stade Gabesien38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
ES Sahel36%fair 2.79 · @2.30
2.80Expected goals
1.50Stade Gabesien xG
1.30ES Sahel xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Stade Gabesien 1.5 – 1.3 ES Sahel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStade Gabesien to win ✓38%2.662.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betStade Gabesien (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapES Sahel +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreStade Gabesien to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stade Gabesien / FT Stade Gabesien ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.23–

Recent results

Stade Gabesien – last 6

WWWLLW
5 Aprvs EGS Gafsa2–1W
29 Mar@ Bouchamma2–1W
23 Mar@ AS Agareb4–1W
27 Febvs EO Sidi Bouzid0–1L
21 Feb@ Ariana1–2L
15 Febvs Jendouba Sport2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

ES Sahel – last 3

DWW
8 Mar@ Stade Tunisien1–1D
28 Febvs AS Soliman1–0W
13 Feb@ JS Kairouanaise2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stade Gabesien and ES Sahel.

Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

– CA Bizertin1 M'saken1 Pens 3–3 156%1.40X24%3.70220%7.50 1.8–1.3xG 1CA Bizertin to win 56%@1.40 ✗
FT CS Sfaxien2 Jendouba Sport1 162%1.17X25%5.50213%13.00 1.6–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@2.08 ✗
– US Monastirienne0 ES Zarzis0 Pens 1–2 156%1.62X27%3.40217%5.00 1.2–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?

On our numbers Stade Gabesien have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ES Sahel 36%.

How many goals will there be in Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?

Our predicted score is Stade Gabesien 1–1 ES Sahel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel?

Stade Gabesien vs ES Sahel (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.