AS Marsa 40%Draw 29%ES Zarzis 32%Expected goals 1.16 – 0.91
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultAS Marsa to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.82
AS Marsa vs ES Zarzis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ES Zarzis travel to face AS Marsa on Thursday 30 April in the Ligue 1 – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, AS Marsa are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; ES Zarzis are 13th (lower half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AS Marsa, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ES Metlaoui, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
ES Zarzis, last 4: DLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with ES Tunis, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Marsa 1.2 xG, ES Zarzis 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Marsa 40%, draw 29%, ES Zarzis 32%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Marsa 1–0 ES Zarzis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Marsa40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.90
ES Zarzis32%fair 3.16 · @3.10
2.07Expected goals
1.16AS Marsa xG
0.91ES Zarzis xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: AS Marsa 1.2 – 0.9 ES Zarzis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Marsa to win✓
40%
2.52
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.60
Draw no bet
AS Marsa (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
ES Zarzis +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
AS Marsa to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Marsa / FT AS Marsa✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.82
–
Recent results
AS Marsa – last 4
LWLL
13 Apr
@ ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Olympique Béja
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
ES Zarzis – last 4
DLDL
23 Apr
@ ES Tunis
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs JS Kairouanaise
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ US Monastirienne
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Marsa and ES Zarzis.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win AS Marsa vs ES Zarzis?
On our numbers AS Marsa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and ES Zarzis 32%.
How many goals will there be in AS Marsa vs ES Zarzis?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Marsa vs ES Zarzis?
Our predicted score is AS Marsa 1–0 ES Zarzis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is AS Marsa vs ES Zarzis?
AS Marsa vs ES Zarzis (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
JS Kairouanaise0