ES Tunis 50%Draw 30%CS Sfaxien 20%Expected goals 1.19 – 0.72
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultES Tunis to win ✗50% · @1.80
Double chanceES Tunis or draw ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ES Tunis welcome CS Sfaxien to Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi for a Ligue 1 fixture on Thursday 30 April (15:30 WAT). In the table, ES Tunis are 2nd, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; CS Sfaxien are 8th (upper half) with 10.
Current form
ES Tunis, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with ES Zarzis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CS Sfaxien, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jendouba Sport, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Tunis 1.2 xG, CS Sfaxien 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Tunis 50%, draw 30%, CS Sfaxien 20%.
Lower-risk option: ES Tunis or draw (80%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Tunis 1–0 CS Sfaxien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Tunis50%fair 1.99 · @1.80
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @3.10
CS Sfaxien20%fair 5.01 · @4.50
1.91Expected goals
1.19ES Tunis xG
0.72CS Sfaxien xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–011%
2–18%
From our goals model: ES Tunis 1.2 – 0.7 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Tunis to win✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Double chance
ES Tunis or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.55
Draw no bet
ES Tunis (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
CS Sfaxien +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
ES Tunis to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Tunis / FT ES Tunis✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.66
–
Recent results
ES Tunis – last 6
DWWWDW
23 Apr
vs ES Zarzis
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ WS Al Hamma
5–0
W
7 Mar
vs AS Marsa
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Olympique Béja
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ ES Metlaoui
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CS Sfaxien – last 5
WWDWW
19 Apr
vs Jendouba Sport
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs JS Kairouanaise
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ JS Kairouanaise
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs AS Gabes
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ US Ben Guerdane
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Tunis and CS Sfaxien.
What is the prediction for ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
On our numbers ES Tunis have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 30% and CS Sfaxien 20%.
How many goals will there be in ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
Our predicted score is ES Tunis 1–0 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
JS Kairouanaise0