FC Sion 41%Draw 23%FC Lugano 36%Expected goals 1.59 – 1.58
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Sion to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
FC Sion vs FC Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Sion welcome FC Lugano to Stade de Tourbillon for a Super League fixture on Thursday 14 May (15:30 WAT). In the table, FC Sion are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; FC Lugano are 1st (leading the league) with 34.
Current form
FC Sion, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC ST. Gallen, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Lugano, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC ST. Gallen, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Sion, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for FC Lugano.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended FC Lugano 2–1 FC Sion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Sion 1.6 xG, FC Lugano 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sion 41%, draw 23%, FC Lugano 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: FC Lugano to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sion 1–1 FC Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Sion41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.55
FC Lugano36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
3.17Expected goals
1.59FC Sion xG
1.58FC Lugano xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: FC Sion 1.6 – 1.6 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers FC Sion have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Lugano 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is FC Sion 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
FC Sion vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Tourbillon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
