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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Thun v BSC Young Boys: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Stockhorn Arena
3–8
FT
FC Thun 38%Draw 20%BSC Young Boys 42% Expected goals 1.81 – 2.21
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: BSC Young Boys to win @ 2.95 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBSC Young Boys to win ✓42% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.59

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 14 May the Super League brings FC Thun against BSC Young Boys at Stockhorn Arena. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, FC Thun are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; BSC Young Boys are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Thun, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over BSC Young Boys, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

BSC Young Boys, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Lugano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Thun, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for BSC Young Boys.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended BSC Young Boys 1–2 FC Thun.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Thun 1.8 xG, BSC Young Boys 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Thun 38%, draw 20%, BSC Young Boys 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.
  • Price worth noting: BSC Young Boys to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Thun 1–2 BSC Young Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Thun38%fair 2.64 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.10
BSC Young Boys42%fair 2.36 · @2.95
4.02Expected goals
1.81FC Thun xG
2.21BSC Young Boys xG
71%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: FC Thun 1.8 – 2.2 BSC Young Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBSC Young Boys to win ✓42%2.362.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.401.30
Draw no betBSC Young Boys (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapFC Thun +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.861.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.531.38
First team to scoreBSC Young Boys to score first54%1.85–
Half-time resultBSC Young Boys ahead at half-time ✓38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT BSC Young Boys / FT BSC Young Boys ✓30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.59–

Recent results

FC Thun – last 4

WDWW
8 Mar@ BSC Young Boys2–1W
5 Marvs FC ST. Gallen2–2D
25 Feb@ FC Winterthur3–0W
15 Febvs FC Sion1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

BSC Young Boys – last 6

DWLWWL
22 Marvs FC Lugano1–1D
15 Mar@ Lausanne2–0W
8 Marvs FC Thun1–2L
4 Mar@ FC Luzern2–1W
1 Marvs FC Zurich3–0W
22 Feb@ FC Sion1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026BSC Young Boys v FC Thun1–2
FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

On our numbers FC Thun have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and BSC Young Boys 42%.

How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

Our predicted score is FC Thun 1–2 BSC Young Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys?

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.