Value bet: Paraguay to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTürkiye to win ✗41% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Türkiye vs Paraguay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 20 June the World Cup brings Türkiye against Paraguay at Levi's Stadium. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT.
Current form
Türkiye, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Australia, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Paraguay, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to USA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Türkiye, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.5 for Paraguay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Türkiye 1.3 xG, Paraguay 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Türkiye 41%, draw 26%, Paraguay 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Paraguay to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Türkiye 1–1 Paraguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Türkiye41%fair 2.45 · @1.96
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Paraguay33%fair 3.03 · @3.80
2.78Expected goals
1.33Türkiye xG
1.45Paraguay xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Türkiye 1.3 – 1.4 Paraguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Türkiye to win✗
41%
2.45
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Türkiye (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Türkiye +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Paraguay to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paraguay / FT Paraguay✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
Türkiye – last 5
LWWWW
14 Jun
@ Australia
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Venezuela
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs FYR Macedonia
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Kosovo
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Romania
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Paraguay – last 4
LWLW
13 Jun
@ USA
1–4
L
5 Jun
vs Nicaragua
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Morocco
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Greece
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Türkiye and Paraguay.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Türkiye vs Paraguay?
On our numbers Türkiye have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Paraguay 33%.
How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs Paraguay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Our predicted score is Türkiye 1–1 Paraguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Türkiye vs Paraguay (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Levi's Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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