Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNetherlands to win ✓55% · @1.71
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Netherlands vs Sweden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 20 June: Netherlands v Sweden in the World Cup, played at NRG Stadium.
Current form
Netherlands, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Japan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sweden, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Tunisia, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Netherlands 2.2 xG, Sweden 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Netherlands 55%, draw 23%, Sweden 22%.
Lower-risk option: Netherlands or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Netherlands 2–1 Sweden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Netherlands55%fair 1.82 · @1.71
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.90
Sweden22%fair 4.50 · @4.35
3.66Expected goals
2.21Netherlands xG
1.45Sweden xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Netherlands 2.2 – 1.5 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Netherlands to win✓
55%
1.82
1.71
Double chance
Netherlands or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Draw no bet
Netherlands (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Sweden +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.17
First team to score
Netherlands to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Netherlands ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Netherlands / FT Netherlands✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Netherlands – last 5
DWLDW
14 Jun
vs Japan
2–2
D
8 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
2–1
W
3 Jun
vs Algeria
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Ecuador
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Norway
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sweden – last 5
WDLWW
15 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–1
W
4 Jun
vs Greece
2–2
D
1 Jun
@ Norway
1–3
L
31 Mar
vs Poland
3–2
W
26 Mar
@ Ukraine
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Netherlands and Sweden.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Netherlands vs Sweden?
On our numbers Netherlands have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sweden 22%.
How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Sweden?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Sweden?
Our predicted score is Netherlands 2–1 Sweden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Netherlands vs Sweden?
Netherlands vs Sweden (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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