Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPoland to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Poland vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 3 June the Friendlies brings Poland against Nigeria at PGE Narodowy. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Poland, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ukraine, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Nigeria, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zimbabwe, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nigeria, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Poland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Poland 1.6 xG, Nigeria 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Poland 47%, draw 24%, Nigeria 29%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poland 1–1 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Poland47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Nigeria29%fair 3.48 · @3.60
2.92Expected goals
1.65Poland xG
1.27Nigeria xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Poland 1.6 – 1.3 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Poland
Nigeria
Attack vs Friendlies average
-6%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.83
1.47
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poland to win✗
47%
2.12
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Poland (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Nigeria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Poland to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poland / FT Poland✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Poland – last 3
LLW
31 May
vs Ukraine
0–2
L
31 Mar
@ Sweden
2–3
L
26 Mar
vs Albania
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 3
WDW
26 May
vs Zimbabwe
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Iran
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poland and Nigeria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Poland vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Poland have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nigeria 29%.
How many goals will there be in Poland vs Nigeria?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poland vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Poland 1–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Poland vs Nigeria?
Poland vs Nigeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at PGE Narodowy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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