Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.05
Diyala vs Naft Maysan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naft Maysan travel to face Diyala on Thursday 9 April in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Diyala are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Naft Maysan are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Diyala, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Al-Qasim, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Naft Maysan, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Minaa Basra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Naft Maysan, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Diyala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Diyala 1.6 xG, Naft Maysan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Diyala 55%, draw 25%, Naft Maysan 20%.
Lower-risk option: Diyala or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Diyala 1–0 Naft Maysan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Diyala55%fair 1.82 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Naft Maysan20%fair 5.05 · @3.80
2.41Expected goals
1.57Diyala xG
0.83Naft Maysan xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Diyala 1.6 – 0.8 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diyala to win✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Double chance
Diyala or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Diyala (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Naft Maysan +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Diyala to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diyala / FT Diyala✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.05
–
Recent results
Diyala – last 5
WLLDL
31 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
4–0
W
27 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–2
L
23 Mar
@ Erbil
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Naft Maysan – last 6
WLDDDW
5 Apr
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Newroz
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Erbil
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Al Karkh
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diyala and Naft Maysan.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
On our numbers Diyala have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naft Maysan 20%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
Our predicted score is Diyala 1–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Naft Maysan?
Diyala vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
