Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaft to win ✓52% · @1.91
Double chanceNaft or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.38
Naft vs Gharraf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gharraf travel to face Naft on Thursday 9 April in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Naft are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Gharraf are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Naft, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gharraf, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Erbil, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Naft, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Gharraf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft 1.3 xG, Gharraf 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft 52%, draw 28%, Gharraf 20%.
Lower-risk option: Naft or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Naft or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft 1–0 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft52%fair 1.93 · @1.91
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
Gharraf20%fair 4.92 · @3.60
1.91Expected goals
1.26Naft xG
0.65Gharraf xG
38%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Naft 1.3 – 0.7 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naft to win✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Double chance
Naft or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Naft (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Gharraf +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Naft to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naft / FT Naft✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.38
–
Recent results
Naft – last 6
DDWWDL
5 Apr
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Karkh
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gharraf – last 6
DWLLLL
5 Apr
vs Erbil
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Newroz
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Al Zawra'a
0–1
L
12 Mar
@ Al-Karma
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft and Gharraf.
Our pick is Naft or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naft vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Naft have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gharraf 20%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Gharraf?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Naft 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Gharraf?
Naft vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
