Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✗48% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Cerro vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Cerro v Atletico Torque in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Luis Troccoli. In the table, Cerro are 9th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Atletico Torque are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Cerro, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro Largo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Atletico Torque, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Palestino, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro 1.0 xG, Atletico Torque 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro 26%, draw 26%, Atletico Torque 48%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro 1–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro26%fair 3.81 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.00
Atletico Torque48%fair 2.09 · @2.08
2.52Expected goals
1.01Cerro xG
1.50Atletico Torque xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cerro 1.0 – 1.5 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-9%
+43%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.19
1.84
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✗
48%
2.09
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Torque (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Cerro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Atletico Torque to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Cerro – last 6
DWWLLD
11 Apr
@ Cerro Largo
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Juventud
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Penarol
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Racing Montevideo
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Boston River
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 6
WWLLDW
15 Apr
@ Palestino
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Gremio
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Club Nacional
2–3
L
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Cerro vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Cerro vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Cerro have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Torque 48%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Atletico Torque?
Cerro vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Troccoli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
