EM Mahdia 42%Draw 27%CS Chebba 30%Expected goals 1.31 – 1.07
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: CS Chebba to win @ 3.50 – our chance 30% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEM Mahdia to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 13 April: EM Mahdia v CS Chebba in the Ligue 2. In the table, EM Mahdia are 2nd, among the top four, on 17 points after 7 matches; CS Chebba are 5th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
EM Mahdia, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AS Agareb, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CS Chebba, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CS Hammam-Lif, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CS Chebba, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for EM Mahdia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give EM Mahdia 1.3 xG, CS Chebba 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – EM Mahdia 42%, draw 27%, CS Chebba 30%.
Price worth noting: CS Chebba to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: EM Mahdia 1–1 CS Chebba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
EM Mahdia42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.80
CS Chebba30%fair 3.29 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.31EM Mahdia xG
1.07CS Chebba xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: EM Mahdia 1.3 – 1.1 CS Chebba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EM Mahdia to win✗
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
EM Mahdia (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
CS Chebba +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
EM Mahdia to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EM Mahdia / FT EM Mahdia✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Recent results
EM Mahdia – last 6
DDLLDD
5 Apr
@ AS Agareb
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Sfax Railways
0–0
D
23 Mar
@ Ajim Djerba
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ M'saken
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bouselem
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CS Chebba – last 5
WLWLL
5 Apr
vs CS Hammam-Lif
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Kerkennah
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Menzel Bourguiba
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ US Tataouine
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mégrine
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EM Mahdia and CS Chebba.
What is the prediction for EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
On our numbers EM Mahdia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CS Chebba 30%.
How many goals will there be in EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
Our predicted score is EM Mahdia 1–1 CS Chebba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba?
EM Mahdia vs CS Chebba (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bouselem1
ES Hammam-Sousse3
Menzel Bourguiba0
CS Hammam-Lif3