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ES Hammam-Sousse v Menzel Bourguiba: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
ES Hammam-Sousse 66%Draw 20%Menzel Bourguiba 15% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.81
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultES Hammam-Sousse to win ✓66% · @1.11
Double chanceES Hammam-Sousse or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 13 April the Ligue 2 brings ES Hammam-Sousse against Menzel Bourguiba. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

ES Hammam-Sousse, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bouselem, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Menzel Bourguiba, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to US Tataouine, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Momentum favours ES Hammam-Sousse, collecting 2.6 points per game to 0.2 for Menzel Bourguiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Hammam-Sousse 1.6 xG, Menzel Bourguiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ES Hammam-Sousse 66%, draw 20%, Menzel Bourguiba 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Hammam-Sousse 1–0 Menzel Bourguiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Hammam-Sousse66%fair 1.52 · @1.11
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @7.00
Menzel Bourguiba15%fair 6.86 · @23.00
2.45Expected goals
1.64ES Hammam-Sousse xG
0.81Menzel Bourguiba xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 1.6 – 0.8 Menzel Bourguiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultES Hammam-Sousse to win ✓66%1.521.11
Double chanceES Hammam-Sousse or draw ✓85%1.171.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betES Hammam-Sousse (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapMenzel Bourguiba +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreES Hammam-Sousse to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT ES Hammam-Sousse / FT ES Hammam-Sousse ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.04–

Recent results

ES Hammam-Sousse – last 5

WWWWD
5 Apr@ Bouselem1–0W
29 Marvs US Tataouine2–0W
28 Feb@ BS Bouhajla1–0W
22 Febvs Mégrine3–0W
16 Feb@ Sporting Ben Arous1–1D
1.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Menzel Bourguiba – last 5

LLLDL
5 Apr@ US Tataouine0–3L
29 Marvs Mégrine0–1L
28 Feb@ CS Chebba0–4L
22 Febvs AS Agareb1–1D
16 Feb@ Sfax Railways1–2L
0.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and Menzel Bourguiba.

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba head-to-head page →

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba?

On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Menzel Bourguiba 15%.

How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba?

Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 1–0 Menzel Bourguiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba?

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Menzel Bourguiba (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.