Aberdeen vs ST Mirren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aberdeen welcome ST Mirren to Pittodrie Stadium for a Premiership fixture on Tuesday 12 May (19:45 WAT). In the table, Aberdeen are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; ST Mirren are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aberdeen, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Livingston, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
ST Mirren, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Celtic, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aberdeen, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for ST Mirren.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 1.5 xG, ST Mirren 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 46%, draw 25%, ST Mirren 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 1–1 ST Mirren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aberdeen46%fair 2.18 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
ST Mirren29%fair 3.40 · @2.95
2.59Expected goals
1.52Aberdeen xG
1.07ST Mirren xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.5 – 1.1 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
46%
2.18
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Draw no bet
Aberdeen (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
ST Mirren +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Aberdeen to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Aberdeen – last 6
DLDLWL
1 May
@ Livingston
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Celtic
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Dundee Utd
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Dundee
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Motherwell
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Motherwell
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ST Mirren – last 3
DLL
19 Apr
@ Celtic
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Rangers
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Dundee Utd
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and ST Mirren.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ST Mirren 29%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–1 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
Aberdeen vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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