Heart Of Midlothian 56%Draw 21%Falkirk 23%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.30
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓56% · @1.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Falkirk travel to face Heart Of Midlothian on Wednesday 13 May in the Premiership, with Tynecastle Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Heart Of Midlothian, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rangers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Falkirk, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 3–6 defeat to Rangers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Heart Of Midlothian, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Falkirk.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Falkirk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heart Of Midlothian 1.7 xG, Falkirk 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heart Of Midlothian 56%, draw 21%, Falkirk 23%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heart Of Midlothian56%fair 1.80 · @1.42
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.40
Falkirk23%fair 4.32 · @7.30
3.00Expected goals
1.70Heart Of Midlothian xG
1.30Falkirk xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.7 – 1.3 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Falkirk 23%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
