Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCeltic to win ✓57% · @1.67
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Motherwell vs Celtic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the Premiership brings Motherwell against Celtic at Fir Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Motherwell are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Celtic are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Celtic, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rangers, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 1.1 xG, Celtic 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 19%, draw 23%, Celtic 57%.
Lower-risk option: Celtic or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celtic or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 1–1 Celtic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motherwell19%fair 5.13 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.10
Celtic57%fair 1.74 · @1.67
3.01Expected goals
1.12Motherwell xG
1.89Celtic xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.1 – 1.9 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celtic to win✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Double chance
Celtic or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Draw no bet
Celtic (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Motherwell +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Celtic to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Celtic ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celtic / FT Celtic✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Motherwell – last 2
LW
18 Feb
@ Aberdeen
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Aberdeen
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Celtic – last 6
WWDWLW
10 May
vs Rangers
3–1
W
3 May
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs ST Mirren
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Dundee
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dundee Utd
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Aberdeen
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and Celtic.
Our pick is Celtic or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Motherwell vs Celtic?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celtic 57%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Celtic?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Celtic?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–1 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Celtic?
Motherwell vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
