Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Lorenzo welcome Deportivo Riestra to Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano for a Copa Argentina fixture on Friday 17 July (22:45 WAT).
Current form
San Lorenzo, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Recoleta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Riestra, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Palestino, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Lorenzo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Riestra.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Riestra 1–1 San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo 1.2 xG, Deportivo Riestra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo 42%, draw 32%, Deportivo Riestra 26%.
Lower-risk option: San Lorenzo or draw (74%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Lorenzo or draw (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Lorenzo42%fair 2.39 · @2.34
Draw32%fair 3.15 · @2.82
Deportivo Riestra26%fair 3.79 · @3.45
2.11Expected goals
1.24San Lorenzo xG
0.87Deportivo Riestra xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo 1.2 – 0.9 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
Attack vs Copa Argentina average
+8%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-7%
Our expected goals here
0.99
0.63
Our own ratings from every Copa Argentina result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is San Lorenzo or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Deportivo Riestra 26%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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