Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓56% · @1.67
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.79
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:45 WAT, Friday 17 July: Sarmiento Junin v Boca Juniors in the Copa Argentina, played at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Current form
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tigre, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Boca Juniors, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico Paranaense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sarmiento Junin, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Boca Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 0.7 xG, Boca Juniors 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 17%, draw 27%, Boca Juniors 56%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin17%fair 5.86 · @5.80
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.35
Boca Juniors56%fair 1.79 · @1.67
2.08Expected goals
0.70Sarmiento Junin xG
1.39Boca Juniors xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–012%
1–112%
0–212%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 0.7 – 1.4 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sarmiento Junin
Boca Juniors
Attack vs Copa Argentina average
-12%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-21%
Our expected goals here
0.88
1.54
Our own ratings from every Copa Argentina result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Double chance
Boca Juniors or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.55
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento Junin +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Boca Juniors to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.79
–
Recent results
Sarmiento Junin – last 6
WLLWWL
25 Apr
vs Tigre
1–0
W
20 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ River Plate
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 6
WLDDLL
9 Jul
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
29 May
vs U. Catolica
0–1
L
20 May
vs Cruzeiro
1–1
D
9 May
vs Huracan
1–1
D
6 May
@ Barcelona SC
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Boca Juniors 56%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors?
Sarmiento Junin vs Boca Juniors (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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