Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.51 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✓47% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.13
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Neftekhimik travel to face Chelyabinsk on Saturday 2 May in the First League, with Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ural, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Enisey, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FK Neftekhimik, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Chelyabinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.5 xG, FK Neftekhimik 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 47%, draw 26%, FK Neftekhimik 26%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.13.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.13 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–1 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk47%fair 2.11 · @2.11
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.12
FK Neftekhimik26%fair 3.79 · @3.50
2.34Expected goals
1.45Chelyabinsk xG
0.89FK Neftekhimik xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.5 – 0.9 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chelyabinsk
FK Neftekhimik
Attack vs First League average
+2%
-38%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.62
0.82
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✓
47%
2.11
2.11
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.13 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelyabinsk (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
FK Neftekhimik +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.51
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.01
First team to score
Chelyabinsk to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LDLDLL
26 Apr
vs Ural
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Enisey
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Chernomorets
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Chayka
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LWDLLW
26 Apr
@ Enisey
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Chernomorets
4–0
W
10 Apr
@ KAMAZ
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Neftekhimik 26%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chernomorets0
Rodina Moskva2