Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultUral to win ✗57% · @1.86
Double chanceUral or draw ✗82% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ural welcome Shinnik Yaroslavl to Yekaterinburg Arena for a First League fixture on Monday 4 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ural are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 17 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Ural, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chelyabinsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fakel, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ural, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ural 1.5 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ural 57%, draw 26%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 18%.
Lower-risk option: Ural or draw (82%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.97.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ural57%fair 1.77 · @1.86
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.34
Shinnik Yaroslavl18%fair 5.59 · @4.15
2.22Expected goals
1.51Ural xG
0.71Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ural 1.5 – 0.7 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ural
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack vs First League average
+24%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.49
0.69
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural to win✗
57%
1.77
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Ural or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.97
Draw no bet
Ural (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.03
First team to score
Ural to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural / FT Ural✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Ural – last 6
WWWDWL
26 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
22 Apr
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
12 Apr
vs FC UFA
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Chayka
5–0
W
29 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DWDDWL
22 Apr
@ Fakel
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ural and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Ural have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Ural 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
