Arsenal Tula 32%Draw 27%Rotor Volgograd 41%Expected goals 1.09 – 1.37
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Rotor Volgograd to win @ 2.89 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✗41% · @2.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rotor Volgograd travel to face Arsenal Tula on Monday 4 May in the First League, with Stadion Arsenal the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Rotor Volgograd are 10th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arsenal Tula, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chelyabinsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rotor Volgograd, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rodina Moskva, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Rotor Volgograd, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Arsenal Tula.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.1 xG, Rotor Volgograd 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 32%, draw 27%, Rotor Volgograd 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.02.
Price worth noting: Rotor Volgograd to win @2.89 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Rotor Volgograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula32%fair 3.08 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.93
Rotor Volgograd41%fair 2.47 · @2.89
2.46Expected goals
1.09Arsenal Tula xG
1.37Rotor Volgograd xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.1 – 1.4 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arsenal Tula
Rotor Volgograd
Attack vs First League average
-6%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+37%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.66
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotor Volgograd to win✗
41%
2.47
2.89 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.02 ▲
Draw no bet
Rotor Volgograd (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal Tula +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Rotor Volgograd to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula – last 6
DLWWLL
22 Apr
vs Chelyabinsk
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Fakel
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Ural
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
WWWWWD
22 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Fakel
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Ural
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rotor Volgograd 41%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?
Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
