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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Astana v FK Tobol Kostanay: numbers & prediction

Cup · Kazakhstan · Astana Arena

FC Astana

WLWDW
1–2
FT

FK Tobol Kostanay

WLWLL
FC Astana 51%Draw 26%FK Tobol Kostanay 23% Expected goals 2.37 – 1.62
77%
Betarazi pick

FC Astana or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Astana to win ✗51% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87

FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Tobol Kostanay travel to face FC Astana on Wednesday 29 April in the Cup, with Astana Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Astana, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over BKS, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kaspiy, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours FC Astana, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for FK Tobol Kostanay.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended FC Astana 2–0 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 2.4 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 51%, draw 26%, FK Tobol Kostanay 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Astana or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Astana or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 2–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Astana51%fair 1.96 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.00
FK Tobol Kostanay23%fair 4.32 · @3.80
3.99Expected goals
2.37FC Astana xG
1.62FK Tobol Kostanay xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
3–25%

From our goals model: FC Astana 2.4 – 1.6 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Astana to win ✗51%1.961.85
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✗77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.75 ▲
Draw no betFC Astana (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapFK Tobol Kostanay +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
First team to scoreFC Astana to score first ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultFC Astana ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Astana / FT FC Astana ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.87–

Recent results

FC Astana – last 5

WLWDW
8 Apr@ BKS2–1W
5 Apr@ Kairat Almaty0–4L
20 Marvs FK Tobol Kostanay2–0W
16 Mar@ Kaisar0–0D
8 Marvs Zhetysu4–1W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

WLWLLD
26 Aprvs Kaspiy2–1W
19 Apr@ Ulytau1–2L
8 Apr@ Ansat8–0W
4 Apr@ Yelimay Semey0–1L
20 Mar@ FC Astana0–2L
16 Marvs Zhetysu2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026FC Astana v FK Tobol Kostanay2–0
FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Okzhetpes2 Zhenys3 145%2.40X26%2.80229%2.75 2.3–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.91 ✓
FT Irtysh1 Kyzyl-Zhar2 137%2.40X27%3.00236%2.65 1.0–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 62%@1.65 ✗
FT Atyrau0 Zhetysu2 142%2.25X28%2.88230%2.90 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.91 ✗
FT Kaisar2 Kairat Almaty1 130%2.62X26%2.90243%2.45 1.2–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.80 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is FC Astana or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers FC Astana have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Tobol Kostanay 23%.

How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is FC Astana 2–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.