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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaisar v Kairat Almaty: numbers & prediction

Cup · Kazakhstan · Kaysar Arena

Kaisar

DDLWL
2–1
FT
Kaisar 30%Draw 26%Kairat Almaty 43% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.66
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds
2

Value bet: Kairat Almaty to win @ 2.45 – our chance 43% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKairat Almaty to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kaisar welcome Kairat Almaty to Kaysar Arena for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 29 April (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Kaisar, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Okzhetpes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Kairat Almaty, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Yelimay Semey, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kairat Almaty, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Kaisar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaisar 1.2 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaisar 30%, draw 26%, Kairat Almaty 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Kairat Almaty to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaisar 1–1 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaisar30%fair 3.29 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.90
Kairat Almaty43%fair 2.31 · @2.45
2.85Expected goals
1.19Kaisar xG
1.66Kairat Almaty xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Kaisar 1.2 – 1.7 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKairat Almaty to win ✗43%2.312.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Draw no betKairat Almaty (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapKaisar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreKairat Almaty to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty ✗29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Kaisar – last 6

DDLWLD
25 Apr@ Okzhetpes1–1D
19 Aprvs Altay1–1D
11 Apr@ Atyrau0–2L
8 Apr@ Talas Karatau2–0W
20 Mar@ Ordabasy0–2L
16 Marvs FC Astana0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Kairat Almaty – last 6

DWWDWW
26 Aprvs Yelimay Semey2–2D
8 Apr@ Jaiyq3–1W
5 Aprvs FC Astana4–0W
21 Mar@ Zhetysu0–0D
16 Marvs Aktobe1–0W
7 Mar@ Altay1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kaisar and Kairat Almaty.

Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty?

On our numbers Kaisar have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kairat Almaty 43%.

How many goals will there be in Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty?

Our predicted score is Kaisar 1–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty?

Kaisar vs Kairat Almaty (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kaysar Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.